Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.045362 0.052954 0.061302 0.071146 0.082421 0.094912 0.109780
2025-05-04 0.033188 0.042869 0.054509 0.069465 0.088101 0.110476 0.139287
2025-05-11 0.025576 0.036141 0.049879 0.068896 0.094360 0.127073 0.172044
2025-05-18 0.019771 0.030326 0.045059 0.066858 0.097961 0.140349 0.202000
2025-05-25 0.015747 0.026034 0.041350 0.065406 0.101721 0.153846 0.233469
2025-06-01 0.013156 0.023286 0.039269 0.065749 0.107767 0.170878 0.271483
2025-06-08 0.010749 0.020312 0.036261 0.064054 0.110263 0.182658 0.302688
2025-06-15 0.009694 0.019398 0.036380 0.067285 0.120759 0.207582 0.356375
2025-06-22 0.008329 0.017649 0.034758 0.067257 0.125730 0.224028 0.397963
2025-06-29 0.006980 0.015656 0.032356 0.065441 0.127276 0.234780 0.430953
2025-07-06 0.005982 0.014163 0.030630 0.064566 0.130275 0.248120 0.469341
2025-07-13 0.005567 0.013813 0.031063 0.067831 0.141199 0.276284 0.535985
2025-07-20 0.005091 0.013263 0.031048 0.070292 0.151043 0.303740 0.604452
2025-07-27 0.004324 0.011887 0.029082 0.068486 0.152311 0.315451 0.645155
2025-08-03 0.003761 0.010883 0.027763 0.067851 0.155836 0.331734 0.695864
2025-08-10 0.003192 0.009739 0.025930 0.065805 0.156137 0.341676 0.735135
2025-08-17 0.002744 0.008816 0.024460 0.064356 0.157503 0.353795 0.779641
2025-08-24 0.002452 0.008259 0.023793 0.064685 0.162794 0.374370 0.842830
2025-08-31 0.002107 0.007466 0.022389 0.063011 0.163311 0.384907 0.886118
2025-09-07 0.002007 0.007400 0.022895 0.066191 0.175499 0.421542 0.987233
2025-09-14 0.001793 0.006922 0.022196 0.066163 0.179998 0.441687 1.054546
2025-09-21 0.001547 0.006274 0.020904 0.064373 0.179966 0.451670 1.100433
2025-09-28 0.001362 0.005790 0.020002 0.063511 0.182143 0.466835 1.158982